## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s price has surpassed $79,000 amid current geopolitical tensions. The market for Bitcoin being above $66,000 on May 5 is priced at 99.8% YES, while the market for it to be below $70,000 on May 3 remains at 0.1% YES. ## Key Takeaways – Bitcoin’s rise above $79,000 suggests heightened interest in
Placing crypto alongside shadow banking and weapons procurement means Treasury believes it is being used for actual trade settlement. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent posted on X on April 29 that Washington’s sanctions campaign is now going after Iran’s “access to crypto,” alongside oil exports, shipping networks, and shadow banking channels. It is the
Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund has closed a new $6 billion fund, marking the largest raise in the venture capital firm’s history. Summary Founders Fund closed a record $6 billion fund focused mainly on late-stage startup investments. Limited partners provided $4.5 billion, while Thiel and insiders contributed another $1.5 billion. The raise shows major venture firms
## Market Snapshot In the crude oil price predictions market for June, the current pricing reflects a 100% YES on hitting $90. OPEC+’s decision to increase output may impact the current outlook. Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure market remains at 10.5% YES, showing little change. ## Key Takeaways – The decision to increase oil output suggests
While generating a net profit above $1.04 billion, Tether’s excess reserve buffer hit a record $8.23 billion, concentrated in short-duration liquid instruments. The leading stablecoin issuer has released its attestation report for the first quarter of 2026, revealing a net profit of more than $1 billion. The company was able to generate such profit
Entering 2026, the global cryptocurrency market remains highly active. Strategy’s $2.57 billion Bitcoin purchase once again highlights institutional investors’ continued interest in the long-term value of Bitcoin. It has also brought greater attention to Bitcoin Cloud Mining and Cryptocurrency Mining among global users. As Bitcoin and crypto assets become more widely adopted, more users are
## Market Snapshot The market for a “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, up from 14% in the past 24 hours. This reflects a modest increase in the perceived likelihood of a deal. Other related markets, such as “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31,” remain less affected,
Here’s why one analyst believes the ‘real’ bull market is ‘very close.’ Bitcoin managed to rebound swiftly from the February low at $60,000, posting gains for two consecutive months. This prompted some analysts to speculate that the cycle’s low is already in and that BTC won’t go below $60,000. Others were even more optimistic,
The New York Stock Exchange has filed a rule change with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to allow tokenized versions of eligible securities to trade on its market. Summary NYSE wants tokenized securities to trade beside traditional shares on the same exchange order book. Eligible tokenized assets must keep the same ticker, CUSIP, rights,
## Market Snapshot Market: “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently active with no specified YES pricing. The report on escalating costs linked to U.S. military operations against Iran appears to influence the market. ## Key Takeaways – The reported $25 billion cost of the Iran war suggests ongoing comprehensive military engagement. –