Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari has shifted from penciling in one or two 2026 cuts to a data‑dependent stance as the Iran war and higher oil muddy the inflation path. Summary Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari says he had expected inflation to cool enough to justify cutting interest rates once or twice in 2026, but
## Market Snapshot Market for “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?” is priced at 99.9% YES. This has remained stable from 100% YES over the past 24 hours. The market remains unchanged with no variance in pricing observed. ## Key Takeaways – Huawei’s increased AI chip
Carrot, a Solana-based DeFi yield protocol, announced its permanent shutdown on April 30, 2026, after losing approximately $8 million in total value locked, roughly half its TVL – to the fallout from the April 1 Drift Protocol exploit that drained an estimated $285 million from one of Solana’s largest perpetual futures platforms. Carrot was not
PI has been quite volatile over the past week, but it remained above a crucial support. Despite a slight delay, the Core Team behind the controversial project finally announced the completion of the next major protocol upgrade and hinted at the migration to the next one. At the same time, the ecosystem’s native token
137 Ventures has raised over $700m across two new funds, lifting AUM above $15b as it doubles down on AI agents, robotics, advanced industry and a $10b‑plus SpaceX stake. Summary SpaceX backer 137 Ventures has closed more than $700 million across two new funds, lifting its assets under management above $15 billion. The growth-stage firm
## Market Snapshot Market “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026” is priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago. The June 30, 2026 sub-market is at 9.5% YES, slightly down from 10% a day earlier. ## Key Takeaways – Trump’s advice for “surgical” strikes appears consistent with maintaining Israeli military presence in
A wave of whale transactions and rising holdings suggests something bigger may be unfolding behind DOGE’s latest price surge. After a period of relative calm, the OG meme coin, Dogecoin (DOGE), has surged even as other top crypto assets have pulled back from gains. Interestingly, Santiment revealed Dogecoin whale activity has surged to a
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse declared at XRP Las Vegas that the CLARITY Act will pass by the end of May, his third public deadline for the bill after predicting 80% odds of April passage on Fox Business in February and revising to May at two successive industry events. Summary Garlinghouse first gave 80% odds of
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for April 30 are currently priced at 0.1% YES for reaching $79,000. This represents a significant decrease in confidence, as evidenced by an 8-point drop in YES shares earlier. ## Key Takeaways – Recent gasoline price increases suggest sustained economic uncertainty due to ongoing geopolitical tensions. – Market pricing
MSTR is up roughly 9.5% year-to-date, placing it ahead of the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, while the BTC backing its treasury is down 13%. Strategy’s MSTR stock snapped a nine-month run of losses in April, climbing 33% as Bitcoin (BTC) rose nearly 12% in the same month, according to data shared by market