Taiwan is the main focus for Beijing during the upcoming Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15, and the odds for Trump visiting China by May 31 now sit at 75% YES. The summit confirmation moved markets. The May 31 sub-market shifted from 78% to 75% YES over the past week, while the May 1 market is
Bitwise’s Matt Hougan said that Strategy’s Bitcoin buying spree, funded through STRC issuance, has driven much of the recent rally. Bitcoin has risen more than 20% from its February lows, trading around $77,000. But market participants are questioning whether the rally can continue. According to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan, Strategy’s aggressive BTC
Canada has moved to tighten oversight of cryptocurrency use by proposing a nationwide ban on crypto ATMs while advancing legislation to block digital asset donations in federal elections. Summary Canada has proposed a nationwide ban on crypto ATMs, with CBC News reporting they are widely used in fraud schemes. FINTRAC has identified crypto ATMs as
Trump has instructed aides to prepare for an extended blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The odds of the blockade being lifted by May 31 are at 50.5% YES, down from 58% yesterday and 82% a week ago. ## Market reaction The report knocked expectations of a quick resolution. With 32 days left until resolution,
Bitcoin is trading around $76k as April draws to a close. It is sitting at one of the most technically loaded junctures of its entire corrective phase. After clawing back from the February low near $60k, BTC has quietly rebuilt momentum through the mid-$70ks, and with whale-sized spot accumulation now clustering at current levels, the
President Trump told hundreds of top $TRUMP memecoin holders at a private April 25 event at Mar-a-Lago that the White House will not allow banks to block the CLARITY Act, pledging to sign the bill immediately and framing crypto market structure legislation as a national priority. Summary Trump delivered a direct warning to bankers at
President Trump and Melania Trump have called for comedian Jimmy Kimmel to be fired from ABC. The market for Kimmel’s firing or resignation by May 31 is at 5.5% YES, down from 8% twenty-four hours ago. The controversy stems from Kimmel’s recent monologue joking about Melania Trump. The FCC has reportedly begun reviewing Disney’s broadcast
Recovered tokens will be sent to a DeFi United multisig wallet, redeemed for ETH, and used to cover the shortfall across affected markets. Aave has announced a recovery plan following an April 18 exploit that affected its liquidity markets and collateral positions on several chains. The update explains how DeFi United, a group of
The Bitcoin 2026 Conference drew more than 40,000 attendees to The Venetian Resort in Las Vegas from April 27 to 29, but the institutional-heavy speaker lineup sparked a sharp backlash from early adopters who accused the event of abandoning its cypherpunk origins for corporate suits and regulators. Summary Speakers included Strategy’s Michael Saylor, BlackRock’s Robert
Trump claims Iran requested an end to the naval blockade, hinting at diplomatic overtures. The ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 2.9% YES, barely changed from 3% yesterday. Traders aren’t biting on Trump’s hint of diplomacy. The April 30 ceasefire market shows minor movement with just two days left. A 48-point spike earlier this