Airline and cruise stocks are rallying as confidence in Trump’s unilateral approach grows. The Polymarket contract on the S&P 500 opening up on April 15 sits at 100% YES amid easing geopolitical tensions. A ceasefire in the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran and lifted sanctions have calmed markets. Travel and leisure stocks are posting the largest
The Senate passed a 10-day FISA extension 2026 by voice vote Friday, keeping the surveillance program alive until April 30 after a bloc of 20 House Republicans overnight derailed both a five-year and an 18-month renewal that Speaker Johnson and the White House had spent a week negotiating. Summary Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence
Keir Starmer has announced a UK and France-led multinational mission to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The market for the UK sending warships through the strait by April 30, 2026, is at 14.0% YES, down from 12% a week ago. Traders reacted to the announcement with skepticism, likely because the mission requires hostilities
The past week (and even more) belonged to the new cryptocurrency superstart – RaveDAO’s RAVE. Although the initial peace talks between Iran and the US failed last weekend, there’s renewed hope for a more permanent deal in the making, which made it yet another eventful week. Recall that BTC had jumped last week as
Slash raised $100M at a $1.4B valuation as it processes over $1B in annualized stablecoin payments for 5,000+ businesses, turning crypto into back‑office banking rails. Summary Enterprise banking platform Slash has raised $100 million in a Series C round led by Ribbit Capital, lifting its valuation to about $1.4 billion and bringing total funding to
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi announced the Strait of Hormuz will stay open as the US completed its withdrawal from most military bases in Syria. The market for Trump announcing the end of military operations against Iran by March 1 is at 0% YES. Market reaction The open Strait of Hormuz points to easing tensions, directly
Roughly $13 million in user funds vanished from Russia crypto exchange Grinex in April 2026, and by the time the exchange suspended trading, the money was already moving fast across blockchain networks toward a single destination wallet. The halt left users unable to access their funds, withdraw balances, or execute trades, with no timeline given
The confluence of MVRV and NUPL in the BCMI has confirmed a correction reset in Bitcoin. After a strong week, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading just above $75,000, as risk assets moved higher on hopes the US may reach a deal with Iran. Against the backdrop of a much-anticipated respite, new data revealed that the
Flow Capital Partners is set to bring its $150 million private credit fund to the DigiFT tokenization platform by the end of April. Summary Flow Capital Partners will move its $150 million private credit fund onto the DigiFT tokenization platform by the end of April as part of a plan to reach $250 million in
Estonia’s defense minister declared confidence in US support against Russian aggression. The market for US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 sits at 1.2% YES, up from 1% yesterday. Estonia’s statement reinforces US commitments to NATO, working against the case for an American exit. The April 30 market remains low, but the 1.2% reflects some