Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz and recent missile launches have dashed hopes for a ceasefire by April 7, with odds plummeting to 1% from 12% last week. The April 7 market is nearly inactive with odds at 1% YES and only 4 days left. The April 15 market has dropped to 6% YES
While HASH has jumped hard, M and FET have lost the most value in the past 24 hours. The overall market calmness continues, but BTC has still dipped by a grand from yesterday’s peak, sliding below $67,000 minutes ago after the latest report on the war against Iran and its impact on some allies.
Bitcoin (BTC) stayed near $67,000 on April 4 as two CryptoQuant analysts pointed to a split market structure. Summary Bitcoin spot volume dropped faster than open interest, showing derivatives still carried more market weight. Exchange reserves fell by 66,300 BTC as OTC flows pointed to continued institutional accumulation recently. Negative funding and nearby downside liquidity
U.S. forces have recovered a crew member from a downed F-15E inside Iranian territory, confirming ground operations. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 are at 86.5% YES, up from 62% a day ago. The April 30 market surged due to the operation, with odds jumping 24 points in 24 hours. The most
The opportunity comes with a few conditions, though. Here’s what traders need to know. The cross-border token of the Ripple ecosystem has presented some mind-blowing price rallies in a few previous market cycles, with the latest example coming after the US presidential elections in late 2024 to mid-2025. However, it has been in a
Bitcoin price slipped toward its lowest levels of 2026 on April 4 as social sentiment also weakened. Summary Bitcoin traded near $66,800 as Santiment showed bearish discussion reached its highest level since late February 2026. Retail traders turned cautious as spot demand weakened, while leverage remained elevated during Bitcoin’s latest pullback. Institutional buyers stayed active
Charles Schwab plans to launch spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading through its banking subsidiary in early 2026. The market for Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 by June 30 currently lacks specific odds. Schwab’s move into crypto trading marks a major step for institutional adoption, managing nearly $12 trillion in assets. This could strengthen bullish sentiment for Bitcoin,
The POTUS said ‘all hell will reign down’ on Iran. Bitcoin’s calmness saw a brief and minor break as the asset jumped by several hundred dollars to near $67,600 for the first time since Thursday after Trump’s latest warning against Iran. The US President gave the Middle Eastern country 48 hours to reopen the
Santiment said traders were watching a small group of digital assets as the market moved into the weekend. Summary Ethereum and Bitcoin led as traders tracked quantum risks, ETF flows, staking, and price pressure. Solana chatter rose after exploit reports, network issues, and project losses pushed security concerns higher. USDC, Chainlink, and Pippin gained attention
Civilians and tribesmen are reportedly moving toward clashes between US forces and the IRGC in Iran. The odds of a ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to 1% YES, down from 2% yesterday. The April 7 market drop shows growing doubt about a ceasefire soon. The April 15 market is also down, at 6% YES