Trump retweeted a column suggesting he doesn’t need a deal with Iran. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 30 market sits at 6% YES, down from 20% yesterday. Market reaction The retweet sent a clear signal to traders that Trump isn’t prioritizing a peace deal. The April 30 market saw the sharpest drop, now
On December 26, 2025, an active-duty Green Beret stationed at Fort Bragg opened a fresh account on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket. Over the following days, he placed roughly 13 bets totaling $33,034, all on outcomes tied to U.S. military action against Venezuela. When Special Forces raided Caracas on January 3, 2026, and captured Nicolás
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States, 23rd April 2026, Chainwire [PRESS RELEASE – Las Vegas, Nevada, United States, April 23rd, 2026] At the Prediction Conference in Las Vegas, SafeBets [SafeBets.world Inc.] unveiled a first-of-its-kind prediction platform where users can earn substantial financial rewards. The company’s arrival comes as the prediction market sector reaches a historic
The U.S. Department of Justice has charged active-duty Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke over alleged Polymarket trades tied to the capture of Nicolás Maduro. Summary DOJ accused Gannon Van Dyke of using classified information to trade on Maduro-linked Polymarket markets. Prosecutors said Van Dyke made about $409,881 after placing more than $33,000 in bets.
Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin could reach $81,000 this month, while the market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April sits at 0% YES. Bitcoin’s recent rally past $77,000 followed Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which eased oil supply concerns. The de-escalation reduced the immediate risk of energy disruptions and boosted Bitcoin’s appeal as a
The KelpDAO attack left behind bad debt and frozen positions across Aave, the conditions the USDC pool has been stuck in ever since. Circle is facing a wave of criticism after a proposal linked to its chief economist suggested sharply increasing USDC borrowing costs on Aave, as the lending pool grinds through a liquidity
Ethereum opened at $2,375.12 on Thursday April 23, 2026, rising 2% from Wednesday’s open as Bitcoin led a broad morning rally past $78,000, though ETH pulled back to $2,316.88 by 7:10 a.m. ET as traders remained cautious over the lack of progress in Iran peace talks and continued US naval activity near the Strait of
OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 is officially out. The market for GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026, sits at 100% YES. The April 23 sub-market saw a 25-point spike, jumping from 61% to 86% in a single move. All active sub-markets, including April 30 and June 30, are now at 100% YES. The market had been pricing in
A renewed uptrend or a substantial pullback: what’s coming next for ETH? The second-largest cryptocurrency recently soared to its highest level since early February, sparking hopes among bulls that a further uptrend could be on the way. However, global geopolitical tensions, the overall bearish market conditions, and other factors suppressed the price, and now
GraniteShares has delayed the launch of its 3x Long and 3x Short XRP Daily ETFs from April 23 to May 7, marking the fifth postponement in three weeks and raising fresh questions about whether the SEC will ultimately clear 3x leveraged crypto products under the framework it applied to reject similar products from ProShares in